Philadelphia Housing Price Prediction

Improving Property Tax Assessments

Isabelle Li, Luciano Lu, Sihan Yu

Introduction

  • Why this matter
  • What we did
  • Goal

Data Sources

Source Description Key Variables / Features
OPA Property Sales 2023–2024 residential transactions sale_price, total_livable_area, number_of_bedrooms, number_of_bathrooms, house_age, garage_spaces
Census ACS 2023 Socioeconomic indicators by tract median_income, ba_rate, unemployment_rate, total_pop
OpenDataPhilly – Transit Public transit locations Count of stops within 400 m buffer (transit_count)
OpenDataPhilly – Recreation / Parks Recreation locations Count within 1200 m buffer (recreation_count), categorical dummy (recreation_dummy)
OpenDataPhilly – Crime Crime incidents Count of incidents within 400 m (crime_count)
Hospitals Hospital locations Distance to nearest hospital (nearest_hospital_m)
Center City boundary Geojson polygon Binary dummy (center_city_dummy)

Data Overview

Where Are Expensive Homes?

What Drives Prices?

Top Predictors

Model Performance

Hardest to Predict

Recommendations

  • Ensure Fair and Transparent Property Valuation

  • Build Community Resilience through Economic Revitalization

  • Promote Spatial Equity in Access to Opportunity

Limitations & Next Steps

  • Limited Performance on High-End Properties

  • Spatial but Not Temporal

  • Data Incompleteness and Systematic Bias

Questions?

Thank You!

Contact: isabli@upenn.edu · GitHub: [https://github.com/Isabelliiii]

Contact: yusihan@upenn.edu · GitHub: [https://github.com/sihan-yu429]

Contact: lu25@upenn.edu · GitHub: [https://github.com/lluluciano0505]